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KPMG sees 2026 as breakout year for carve-out deals amid AI-driven M&A growth

KPMG forecasts 2026 as a pivotal year for mergers and acquisitions, with carve-outs emerging as a dominant strategy and artificial intelligence (AI) playing an increasingly central role in deal execution. The firm’s global survey of 700 dealmakers shows rising confidence, particularly among private equity firms, with 71% pursuing or considering portfolio separations to improve efficiency and unlock value. Deal activity is expected to focus on mid-sized transactions under $1bn, while companies also target geographic expansion and technology acquisition. AI is now widely embedded across the M&A lifecycle, supporting due diligence, valuation, and deal sourcing, and delivering measurable efficiency gains, though increasing deal complexity, especially around operational and IT separation, remains a key risk to successful execution.

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