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Federal Reserve officials expect another interest rate increase before the end of 2026, although minutes from September's policy meeting suggest there is little urgency to raise rates again in October. Policymakers unanimously supported September's increase, the first in three years, amid persistent inflation driven partly by higher energy prices, tariffs, and AI-related investment. Most officials anticipate one further rate hike this year, with December increasingly viewed as the likely timing. New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson have both signaled that the central bank can afford to wait for additional economic data. A weaker-than-expected September jobs report, including annual wage growth of 3%, has reinforced expectations of an October pause. Meanwhile, rising Treasury yields have already increased borrowing costs, reducing pressure on the Fed to tighten monetary policy immediately.
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