Global economy faces recession risks as dependence on U.S. AI investment grows |
| The global economy is becoming increasingly vulnerable to a potential collapse in AI investment, as U.S. data-center spending drives growth across international trade and manufacturing. Asian economies, particularly China, Taiwan, and South Korea, have benefited from surging demand for semiconductors, servers, and electronic equipment, while Europe and emerging markets have gained from infrastructure investment. However, Capital Economics estimates that AI-related products account for as much as 80% of recent global export growth, exposing international trade to a sharp slowdown if investment weakens. Recent market volatility has highlighted these risks, with South Korea’s Kospi falling 43% from its peak, Japan’s Nikkei declining 16%, and the Nasdaq dropping 8%. Economists warn that an AI investment downturn, combined with elevated energy costs, tariffs, and rising interest rates, could trigger a severe global recession, particularly in economies already struggling with weak domestic demand. |
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