U.S. home-price growth slows to weakest pace since 2011 |
U.S. home-price growth cooled in December to its slowest annual rate in more than a decade, as high mortgage rates and persistent inflation continued to pressure buyers. The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose 1.3% in the 12 months through December, down slightly from November’s 1.4% increase. It marked the weakest full-year gain since 2011. According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, inflation has outpaced home-price appreciation since mid-2025, eroding real home values and reversing a long-standing trend of positive real returns. Elevated borrowing costs have also weighed on the market, with the 30-year mortgage rate ending 2025 at 6.2%, well above its 10-year average of 4.8%. At the metro level, Chicago, New York, Cleveland and Minneapolis posted the strongest annual gains, while Tampa, Denver, Phoenix, Dallas and Miami recorded the steepest declines.