Inflation rises as tariffs bite |
Recent data indicates that the U.S. trade war is beginning to impact consumer prices significantly. The Labor Department's Consumer Price Index rose to 2.7% in June compared to the previous year, with core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, at 2.9%. "With increases in categories like household furnishings, recreation, and apparel, import levies are slowly filtering through," wrote Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management. "It would be wise for the Fed to remain on the sidelines for a few more months at least.” The inflation figures are moving further from the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with expectations that interest rates will remain steady at 4.25%-4.50%. Amidst political tensions, the futures market predicts a potential rate cut in September. President Donald Trump on social media said that consumer prices were "LOW" and repeated his call for the Fed to cut rates. The consumer price level was about 1.2% higher in June compared to December, the last full month before Mr. Trump started his second term.