| Beige Book signals rising inflation pressures as fuel costs surge |
The Federal Reserve has reported intensifying inflationary pressures across the U.S. economy, driven by rising diesel prices, tariffs, and higher commodity costs, while the labor market remains subdued. Its latest Beige Book survey, based on data collected on or before October 5th, cited 21 references to elevated diesel costs, compared with just two in the previous report, highlighting growing pressure on transportation, agriculture, and business margins. Five Federal Reserve districts reported staffing reductions through delayed hiring or natural attrition, although widespread layoffs remained limited. Consumer prices rose 3.7% year over year in September, well above the Fed’s 2% target, increasing uncertainty over further interest rate hikes following September’s increase to 3.75%–4.00%. Meanwhile, the average 30-year mortgage rate reached 7.5%, its highest level in nearly three years, further weakening housing demand. Despite these challenges, businesses generally anticipate modest economic growth, particularly in manufacturing, although persistent cost pressures and trade uncertainty continue to weigh on confidence.