Goods trade deficit widens to largest since early 2025 |
The U.S. merchandise trade deficit unexpectedly widened in August, increasing 11.5% from the previous month to $132.6bn, its largest level since early 2025 and well above economists’ median forecast of $115bn. Merchandise imports rose 5.5%, driven by a 16.6% surge in industrial supplies, including petroleum products, while imports of capital goods such as computers, semiconductors, and telecommunications equipment also increased. Goods exports climbed 1.9%, including higher shipments of industrial supplies. Trade flows have been affected by factors including the Iran war, U.S. companies stockpiling goods to limit supply-chain disruptions, and rising imports of equipment related to AI infrastructure. The wider deficit could weigh on third-quarter economic growth, while retail and wholesale inventories increased 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. Relatedly, U.S. wholesale inventories increased 0.7% in August, ahead of forecasts for a 0.5% rise, but slowed from the previous month’s 1.3% increase.