Ending U.S. reliance on China could cost nearly $14tn |
An EY-Parthenon analysis estimates that the United States would need to invest $13.7tn over the next 25 years to eliminate its reliance on China in highly exposed sectors, accounting for more than half of the $23.6tn required across the U.S., the Eurozone, and the U.K. The report comes as the Trump administration continues efforts to reduce dependence on China through tariffs and other trade measures, despite the U.S. remaining heavily reliant on Chinese imports, including smartphones, telecommunications equipment, and toys. The analysis concludes that a complete decoupling from China is unlikely because of the country's manufacturing scale, lower production costs, and entrenched supply chains, warning that such a shift could raise U.S. inflation by 1% to 2%. While the report suggests the U.S. can strengthen domestic manufacturing, workforce skills, and supply chain resilience, it argues that policymakers will need to balance economic security with the benefits of global trade rather than pursue full economic separation.